Uganda is favored at 35% as of 4 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC across 18 markets.
- Uganda: 35% (24h change 0%)
- Democratic Republic of the Congo: 17% (24h change 0%)
- Lebanon: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Yemen: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
- Syria: 8.7% (24h change 0%)
- Iran: 7.9% (24h change 0%)
- Iraq: 6.6% (24h change 0%)
- Russia: 5.7% (24h change +4.1%)
- South Sudan: 5.1% (24h change 0%)
- Somalia: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
- Ukraine: 1.8% (24h change 0%)
- Haiti: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Afghanistan: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Gaza: 1% (24h change 0%)
- North Korea: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Libya: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Sudan: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Burma (Myanmar): 1% (24h change 0%)
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
Trade ↗All options
Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
Uganda is favored at 35% as of 4 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
Uganda: 35%; Democratic Republic of the Congo: 17%; Lebanon: 13%; Yemen: 9.9%; Syria: 8.7%; Iran: 7.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.