Powered by KalshiTexas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-70%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·88%(+66%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·89%(+62%)Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·83%(+56%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·74%(+48%)Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?·Before Jan 1, 2027·40%(-47%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·16%(-44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 36+ pts·59%(-37.8%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·59%(-35%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·55%(-34%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·65%(-34%)Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?·No new Director of Legislative Affairs·47%(+32%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·78%(+31%)

Powered by KalshiTexas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-70%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·88%(+66%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·89%(+62%)Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·83%(+56%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·74%(+48%)Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?·Before Jan 1, 2027·40%(-47%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·16%(-44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 36+ pts·59%(-37.8%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·59%(-35%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·55%(-34%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·65%(-34%)Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?·No new Director of Legislative Affairs·47%(+32%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·78%(+31%)

Summary

At least 16 is favored at 86% as of 23 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

house1 marketLIVE

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

At least 16

86%

—

$200