At least 10 is favored at 91% as of 3 Oct 2026, 18:35 UTC across 11 markets.
- At least 10: 91% (24h change 0%)
- At least 16: 90% (24h change 0%)
- At least 19: 88% (24h change 0%)
- At least 13: 85% (24h change 0%)
- At least 25: 83% (24h change 0%)
- At least 22: 78% (24h change 0%)
- At least 31: 62% (24h change 0%)
- At least 28: 60% (24h change 0%)
- At least 35: 42% (24h change 0%)
- At least 46: 27% (24h change 0%)
- At least 40: 4% (24h change 0%)
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
At least 10 is favored at 91% as of 3 Oct 2026, 18:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
At least 10: 91%; At least 16: 90%; At least 19: 88%; At least 13: 85%; At least 25: 83%; At least 22: 78%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.