Donald Trump Jr. is favored at 61% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 52 markets.
- Donald Trump Jr.: 61% (24h change 0%)
- Eric Trump: 58% (24h change +9%)
- Jared Kushner: 57% (24h change +9%)
- Pete Hegseth: 57% (24h change +16%)
- Scott Bessent: 48% (24h change +8%)
- Barron Trump: 47% (24h change -1%)
- Donald Trump: 44% (24h change -6%)
- Steve Bannon: 42% (24h change 0%)
- Todd Blanche: 42% (24h change 0%)
- Susie Wiles: 41% (24h change 0%)
- Keonne Rodriguez: 39% (24h change 0%)
- Eric Adams: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Pam Bondi: 38% (24h change +4%)
- Jho Low: 37% (24h change 0%)
- JD Vance: 36% (24h change +1%)
- Ghislaine Maxwell: 35% (24h change 0%)
- Tim Leissner: 35% (24h change 0%)
- Prakazrel Michel: 35% (24h change 0%)
- Elon Musk: 35% (24h change +1%)
- Marco Rubio: 35% (24h change +10%)
- Julian Assange: 33% (24h change 0%)
- Robin Smith: 33% (24h change 0%)
- Elizabeth Holmes: 32% (24h change -6%)
- Sean Combs: 31% (24h change -7%)
- Sam Bankman-Fried: 31% (24h change -3%)
- Larry Householder: 31% (24h change 0%)
- Edward Snowden: 30% (24h change +3%)
- Justin Sun: 26% (24h change +6%)
- Joe Giudice: 26% (24h change +5%)
- Derek Chauvin: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Pete Rose: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Kisean Anderson: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Do Kwon: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Martin Shkreli: 23% (24h change 0%)
- Matt Borges: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Joseph Maldonado: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Bob Menendez: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Torence Hatch: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Tou Thao: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Safaree Samuels: 18% (24h change 0%)
- Leon Stanton: 17% (24h change 0%)
- Daniel Hale: 17% (24h change 0%)
- Jeffery Williams: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Alex Mashinsky: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Jose Muyet: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Roger Ver: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Brian Cole Jr.: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Ty Garbin: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Bill Hwang: 8.1% (24h change 0%)
- Sebastian Telfair: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Hunter Biden: 5.2% (24h change 0%)
- DeAndre Way: 5.1% (24h change 0%)
Who will Trump pardon?
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About this market
Market question: Who will Trump pardon?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will Trump pardon?
Donald Trump Jr. is favored at 61% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will Trump pardon?
Donald Trump Jr.: 61%; Eric Trump: 58%; Jared Kushner: 57%; Pete Hegseth: 57%; Scott Bessent: 48%; Barron Trump: 47%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.