Powered by KalshiCA-46 primary: first place·Lou Correa·99%(+99%)CA-50 primary: first place·Scott Peters·99%(+99%)NY-25 Democratic nominee?·Joseph D Morelle·99%(+99%)South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·Lindsey Graham, 25-30%·99%(+99%)Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 100k·99%(+99%)South Carolina Republican Senate primary: Mark Lynch vote percent·25% - 30%·99%(+99%)FL-28 Democratic nominee?·Phil Ehr·98%(+98%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jun 2026?·At least 5·98%(+98%)MI-04 Democratic nominee?·Sean McCann·98%(+98%)MA-06 Republican nominee?·Micah Jones·96%(+96%)MO-02 Democratic nominee?·Fred Wellman·96%(+96%)NY-19 Republican nominee?·Peter K Oberacker·96%(+96%)NY-21 Democratic nominee?·Blake Gendebien·94%(+94%)CA-32 Primary margin of victory?·Brad Sherman, 0-5%·95%(+94%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·94%(+94%)

Powered by KalshiCA-46 primary: first place·Lou Correa·99%(+99%)CA-50 primary: first place·Scott Peters·99%(+99%)NY-25 Democratic nominee?·Joseph D Morelle·99%(+99%)South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·Lindsey Graham, 25-30%·99%(+99%)Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 100k·99%(+99%)South Carolina Republican Senate primary: Mark Lynch vote percent·25% - 30%·99%(+99%)FL-28 Democratic nominee?·Phil Ehr·98%(+98%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jun 2026?·At least 5·98%(+98%)MI-04 Democratic nominee?·Sean McCann·98%(+98%)MA-06 Republican nominee?·Micah Jones·96%(+96%)MO-02 Democratic nominee?·Fred Wellman·96%(+96%)NY-19 Republican nominee?·Peter K Oberacker·96%(+96%)NY-21 Democratic nominee?·Blake Gendebien·94%(+94%)CA-32 Primary margin of victory?·Brad Sherman, 0-5%·95%(+94%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·94%(+94%)

other3 marketsLIVE

When will the UK's social media ban take effect?

Odds history

Loading chart data...

All options

Before Apr 1, 2027

61%

—

31

Before Aug 1, 2027

51%

—

0

Before Jan 1, 2027

41%

—

93