Before Aug 1, 2027 is favored at 71% as of 12 Aug 2026, 17:04 UTC across 3 markets.
- Before Aug 1, 2027: 71% (24h change 0%)
- Before Apr 1, 2027: 53% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 10% (24h change 0%)
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
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About this market
Market question: When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
Before Aug 1, 2027 is favored at 71% as of 12 Aug 2026, 17:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
Before Aug 1, 2027: 71%; Before Apr 1, 2027: 53%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 10%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.