ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·1%(-95%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 39·23%(-76%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jan 1, 2027·16%(-74%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·TB-500·78%(+66%)Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·3.6%(-61.4%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 2·9%(-52%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·82%(+47%)Greater Manchester mayoral election margin of victory?·Labour, ≥25%·98%(+46%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 23+ pts·5.2%(-44.8%)When will Todd Blanche be confirmed?·Before Nov 1, 2026·33%(-37%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·82%(+36%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 2·99%(+33%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Tommy Tuberville·47%(-32%)Traffic through the Panama Canal? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 200·65%(+31%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Jan 1, 2027·43%(-30%)
Back
Summary

Before Aug 1, 2027 is favored at 72% as of 30 Jul 2026, 16:03 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Aug 1, 2027: 72% (24h change -7%)
  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 10% (24h change 0%)
international3 marketsLIVE

When will the UK's social media ban take effect?

Trade ↗

Odds history

Loading chart

All options