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Powered by KalshiWhen will records from Fauci’s phone be released?·Before Aug 15, 2026·99%(+90%)Iowa's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 12+ pts·7%(-71%)Georgia's 9th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·1%(-64%)When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?·Before Oct 1, 2026·76%(+56%)NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?·Jennifer Balkcom·99%(+56%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 35%·9%(-55%)Florida's 20th District margin of victory·Democrats, 43+ pts·1%(-54%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·68%(+54%)West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory·Republicans, 42+ pts·63%(+51%)South Carolina's 7th District margin of victory·Republicans, 21+ pts·1%(-48%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Tally Gotliv·11%(-44%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·94%(+42%)Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·30%(-42%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·27%(-40%)Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?·Before Jan 1, 2031·41%(-40%)
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Summary

Rand Paul is favored at 76% as of 11 Aug 2026, 01:03 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Rand Paul: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Susan Collins: 49% (24h change -3%)
  • Lisa Murkowski: 29% (24h change 0%)
  • Bill Cassidy: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Mitch McConnell: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Thom Tillis: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • John Fetterman: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Ruben Gallego: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

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