Mitch McConnell is favored at 30% as of 25 Sep 2026, 04:36 UTC across 8 markets.
- Mitch McConnell: 30% (24h change +15%)
- Lisa Murkowski: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Bill Cassidy: 28% (24h change 0%)
- Rand Paul: 12% (24h change -13%)
- John Fetterman: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Thom Tillis: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Susan Collins: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Ruben Gallego: 1% (24h change 0%)
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
Mitch McConnell is favored at 30% as of 25 Sep 2026, 04:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
Mitch McConnell: 30%; Lisa Murkowski: 29%; Bill Cassidy: 28%; Rand Paul: 12%; John Fetterman: 9%; Thom Tillis: 8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.