Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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GA-11 Democratic nominee?
·
Chris Harden
·
80%
(+79%)
How many federal judges will be confirmed in May 2026?
·
At least 2
·
95%
(+77%)
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
·
Above 70k
·
34%
(-54%)
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 38+ pts
·
51%
(+47.3%)
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
·
Fentanyl precursor crackdown
·
34%
(-47%)
Connecticut Republican Governor nominee?
·
Erin Stewart
·
0.1%
(-44.9%)
How many people will Trump pardon in June 2026?
·
0
·
46%
(+39%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Hillary Clinton
·
71%
(+37%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
·
Raúl Castro
·
58%
(+37%)
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
·
Troy Carter
·
44%
(-36%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/11 - 5/17)
·
Above 30
·
52%
(+35%)
Trump's approval rating on May 15, 2026?
·
40.2 to 40.4
·
57%
(+33%)
Traffic through the Panama Canal in May 2026?
·
Above 950
·
2%
(-33%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: 2nd place (1st round)
·
Mike Collins
·
41%
(+33%)
AL-01 Republican nominee?
·
Jerry Carl
·
79%
(+29%)
Powered by
Kalshi
GA-11 Democratic nominee?
·
Chris Harden
·
80%
(+79%)
How many federal judges will be confirmed in May 2026?
·
At least 2
·
95%
(+77%)
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
·
Above 70k
·
34%
(-54%)
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 38+ pts
·
51%
(+47.3%)
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
·
Fentanyl precursor crackdown
·
34%
(-47%)
Connecticut Republican Governor nominee?
·
Erin Stewart
·
0.1%
(-44.9%)
How many people will Trump pardon in June 2026?
·
0
·
46%
(+39%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Hillary Clinton
·
71%
(+37%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
·
Raúl Castro
·
58%
(+37%)
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
·
Troy Carter
·
44%
(-36%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/11 - 5/17)
·
Above 30
·
52%
(+35%)
Trump's approval rating on May 15, 2026?
·
40.2 to 40.4
·
57%
(+33%)
Traffic through the Panama Canal in May 2026?
·
Above 950
·
2%
(-33%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: 2nd place (1st round)
·
Mike Collins
·
41%
(+33%)
AL-01 Republican nominee?
·
Jerry Carl
·
79%
(+29%)
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At least 10%
96
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305
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At least 15%
95
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300
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At least 20%
21
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0
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At least 25%
17
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1
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3
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2
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At least 35%
3
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175
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