At least 40% is favored at 99% as of 5 Aug 2026, 03:35 UTC across 25 markets. Kalshi odds.

• At least 40%: 99% (24h change 0%)
• At least 41%: 99% (24h change 0%)
• At least 42%: 99% (24h change 0%)
• At least 43%: 99% (24h change 0%)
• At least 45%: 99% (24h change 0%)
• At least 44%: 98% (24h change 0%)
• At least 47%: 98% (24h change 0%)
• At least 46%: 96% (24h change 0%)
• At least 48%: 93% (24h change 0%)
• At least 49%: 86% (24h change 0%)
• At least 50%: 65% (24h change 0%)
• At least 51%: 55% (24h change 0%)
• At least 55%: 21% (24h change 0%)
• At least 56%: 16% (24h change 0%)
• At least 52%: 16% (24h change 0%)
• At least 53%: 12% (24h change 0%)
• At least 57%: 10% (24h change 0%)
• At least 54%: 8% (24h change 0%)
• At least 59%: 2% (24h change 0%)
• At least 60%: 2% (24h change 0%)
• At least 61%: 2% (24h change 0%)
• At least 62%: 2% (24h change 0%)
• At least 58%: 1% (24h change 0%)
• At least 63%: 1% (24h change 0%)
• At least 64%: 1% (24h change 0%)