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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 26, 2026?·39.7·98%(+70%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·40%(-57.1%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/23-8/29)·At least 7·71%(+56%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?·On Nov 16, 2026·70%(+52%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·19%(-49%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·75%(+48%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·5%(-47%)IA-02 House winner?·Lindsay James·88%(+41%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·10%(-41%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 53%·1%(-40%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·97%(+39%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/23 - 8/29)·Above 0·99%(+37%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/21-8/28)?·Above 6.4%·40%(-34%)
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Summary

At least 15% is favored at 92% as of 27 Aug 2026, 03:04 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 15%: 92% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 18%: 70% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 19%: 55% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 20%: 41% (24h change 0%)
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