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U.S. Midterms 2026
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Alaska House winner?
·
Bill Hill
·
10%
(-84%)
Florida Senate margin of victory
·
Republicans, 10+ pts
·
92.4%
(+81.4%)
Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?
·
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?
·
13%
(-72%)
FL-20 Republican nominee?
·
Rod Joseph
·
21%
(-57%)
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
·
Initiative #110
·
16%
(-49%)
FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent
·
At least 7.5%
·
32%
(-48%)
Who will Trump pardon?
·
Jared Kushner
·
7.5%
(-41.5%)
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
·
5
·
81%
(+41%)
FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent
·
At least 15%
·
12%
(-38%)
FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent
·
At least 80%
·
64%
(+37%)
FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent
·
At least 30%
·
74%
(+35%)
Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?
·
At least 2
·
24%
(-32%)
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 15+ pts
·
67%
(+30%)
PA-08 House winner?
·
Paige Cognetti
·
89%
(+29%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
Above 25
·
37%
(-29%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Alaska House winner?
·
Bill Hill
·
10%
(-84%)
Florida Senate margin of victory
·
Republicans, 10+ pts
·
92.4%
(+81.4%)
Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?
·
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?
·
13%
(-72%)
FL-20 Republican nominee?
·
Rod Joseph
·
21%
(-57%)
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
·
Initiative #110
·
16%
(-49%)
FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent
·
At least 7.5%
·
32%
(-48%)
Who will Trump pardon?
·
Jared Kushner
·
7.5%
(-41.5%)
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
·
5
·
81%
(+41%)
FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent
·
At least 15%
·
12%
(-38%)
FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent
·
At least 80%
·
64%
(+37%)
FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent
·
At least 30%
·
74%
(+35%)
Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?
·
At least 2
·
24%
(-32%)
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 15+ pts
·
67%
(+30%)
PA-08 House winner?
·
Paige Cognetti
·
89%
(+29%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
Above 25
·
37%
(-29%)
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Lance Schroyer
Lance Schroyer
Kalshi odds for Lance Schroyer. 3 markets tracked.
Top odds
65%
Before Mar 1, 2027
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Before Jan 1, 2027
When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?
34%
Before Oct 1, 2026
When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?
9%
Other policy
View all other policy →
Before Mar 1, 2027
When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?
65%
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