Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·90%(+64%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·38%(-48%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?·Before Aug 1, 2026·36%(-42%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·27%(-39%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·36%(-34%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)CO-04 House winner?·Democratic party·32%(+30.4%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Salaam Bhatti·34%(+29%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 55·38%(-26%)