Gavin Newsom is favored at 86% as of 5 Jul 2026, 14:02 UTC across 36 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• Gavin Newsom: 86% (24h change +4%)
• Andy Beshear: 86% (24h change 0%)
• Pete Buttigieg: 84% (24h change 0%)
• Josh Shapiro: 81% (24h change +1%)
• J.B. Pritzker: 80% (24h change +5%)
• Kamala Harris: 75% (24h change 0%)
• Rahm Emanuel: 74% (24h change -1%)
• Cory Booker: 72% (24h change +7%)
• Chris Murphy: 72% (24h change 0%)
• Ro Khanna: 72% (24h change 0%)
• Wes Moore: 68% (24h change +1%)
• Jon Ossoff: 66% (24h change +4%)
• Mark Kelly: 65% (24h change 0%)
• Mitch Landrieu: 60% (24h change 0%)
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 56% (24h change +2%)
• Elissa Slotkin: 43% (24h change 0%)
• Jared Polis: 40% (24h change 0%)
• Chris Van Hollen: 31% (24h change 0%)
• Raphael Warnock: 30% (24h change 0%)
• Dean Phillips: 29% (24h change 0%)
• Phil Murphy: 29% (24h change 0%)
• Abigail Spanberger: 28% (24h change 0%)
• Gretchen Whitmer: 25% (24h change 0%)
• Stephen A. Smith: 23% (24h change 0%)
• Roy Cooper: 23% (24h change 0%)
• Ruben Gallego: 21% (24h change 0%)
• John Fetterman: 19% (24h change 0%)
• Hunter Biden: 18% (24h change 0%)
• Mikie Sherrill: 17% (24h change 0%)
• Mark Cuban: 15% (24h change 0%)
• James Talarico: 15% (24h change 0%)
• Jon Stewart: 12% (24h change 0%)
• Michelle Obama: 6.2% (24h change 0%)
• Tim Walz: 4.7% (24h change 0%)
• Barack Obama: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
• Hillary Clinton: 1.2% (24h change 0%)