Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)When will ICE removal operations be funded again?·Before Jun 1, 2026·0%(-84%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 24, 2026·0%(-82%)GA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·92%(+75%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·5%(-67%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent·25% - 30%·72%(+54%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·32%(-44%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)TN-04 Democratic nominee?·Mike Cortese·56%(+42%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·23%(-41%)

Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)When will ICE removal operations be funded again?·Before Jun 1, 2026·0%(-84%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 24, 2026·0%(-82%)GA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·92%(+75%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·5%(-67%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent·25% - 30%·72%(+54%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·32%(-44%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)TN-04 Democratic nominee?·Mike Cortese·56%(+42%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·23%(-41%)

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Will the Citrini scenario happen?

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Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

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