Powered by KalshiGA-13 special election winner?·Marcye Scott·2%(-87%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 8:30PM Aug 25·1%(-84%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Darline Graham, 3-6%·99%(+82%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·79%(+73%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·87%(+72%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 48%·1%(-68%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·92%(+65%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 26, 2026?·39.7·98%(+61%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 52%·99%(+54%)South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?·Oconee·1%(-52%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)·Darline Graham, ≥3%·99%(+47%)

Powered by KalshiGA-13 special election winner?·Marcye Scott·2%(-87%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 8:30PM Aug 25·1%(-84%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Darline Graham, 3-6%·99%(+82%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·79%(+73%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·87%(+72%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 48%·1%(-68%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·92%(+65%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 26, 2026?·39.7·98%(+61%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 52%·99%(+54%)South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?·Oconee·1%(-52%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)·Darline Graham, ≥3%·99%(+47%)

Summary

Above 160,000 is favored at 50% as of 19 Aug 2026, 05:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

policy4 marketsLIVE

How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

All options

Above 160,000

50%

—

$2K

Above 170,000

35%

—

$347

Above 180,000

33%

—

$14

Above 190,000

28%

—

$307