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Powered by KalshiTexas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 8.80M·93%(+73%)MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥15%·2%(-63%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 55%·9%(-60%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥10%·96%(+59%)Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-51%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·90%(+50%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?·António Guterres·74%(+49%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Beau Bayh·50%(-45%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·67%(+44%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Jeromie Whalen vote percent·At least 40%·99%(+44%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)·Ed Markey, ≥35%·1%(-42%)Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?·France·6.8%(-39.2%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·11%(-39%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 50·2%(-38%)
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Summary

At least 7% is favored at 68% as of 2 Sep 2026, 22:34 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 7%: 68% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 9%: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 12%: 26% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 15%: 12% (24h change 0%)
international4 marketsLIVE

Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent

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