Powered by KalshiWho will run for South Carolina Senate?·Henry McMaster·96%(+94%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Gianni Infantino·7%(-91%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥20%·85%(+76%)Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·South Carolina·95%(+75%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·1.2%(-67.8%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 1·99%(+49%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Dan Osborn·53%(+48%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Roger Williams·54%(+44.6%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·73%(+44%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jul 25, 2026·3%(-41%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Ian Murray·1%(-40%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·92%(+40%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·60%(+40%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Sep 1, 2026·2%(-38%)Who will visit the White House in 2026?·Volodymyr Zelenskyy·92.4%(+37.4%)

Powered by KalshiWho will run for South Carolina Senate?·Henry McMaster·96%(+94%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Gianni Infantino·7%(-91%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥20%·85%(+76%)Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?·South Carolina·95%(+75%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·1.2%(-67.8%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 1·99%(+49%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Dan Osborn·53%(+48%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Roger Williams·54%(+44.6%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·73%(+44%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jul 25, 2026·3%(-41%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Ian Murray·1%(-40%)When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Aug 1, 2026·92%(+40%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·60%(+40%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Sep 1, 2026·2%(-38%)Who will visit the White House in 2026?·Volodymyr Zelenskyy·92.4%(+37.4%)

Summary

Above 20 is favored at 99% as of 24 Jul 2026, 23:03 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

international6 marketsLIVE

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)

Odds history

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All options

Above 20

99%

—

$1

Above 15

98%

—

$99

Above 25

66%

—

$1

Above 50

17%

—

$0

Above 60

7%

—

$0

Above 70

1%

—

$1