Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·91%(+89%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+73%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 16 million·64%(+45%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·66%(+43%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·9%(-41%)FL-20 Democratic nominee?·Luther Campbell·42%(+38%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·4%(-37%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·37%(+34%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·47%(-33%)MI-07 Democratic nominee?·William Lawrence·49%(+24%)AL-01 Republican nominee?·Jerry Carl·94%(+22%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·39%(+22%)Maine-Texas Senate Combo·Ken Paxton and Graham Platner·3%(-22%)Who will AOC endorse?·Graham Platner·7%(-20%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/5 - 7/11)·Above 0·39%(-19%)
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Live summary

2 is favored at 92.1% as of 6 Jul 2026, 20:33 UTC across 3 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • 2: 92.1% (24h change 0%)
  • 3: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • 4 or more: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
senate3 marketsLIVE

How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

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2

92.1%
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3

2%
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