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Powered by KalshiGA-13 special election winner?·Marcye Scott·2%(-87%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 8:30PM Aug 25·1%(-84%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Darline Graham, 3-6%·99%(+82%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·79%(+73%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·87%(+72%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 48%·1%(-68%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·92%(+65%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 26, 2026?·39.7·98%(+61%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 52%·99%(+54%)South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?·Oconee·1%(-52%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·5%(-51%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)
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Summary

Democrats, 31+ pts is favored at 67% as of 23 Aug 2026, 01:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 31+ pts: 67% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 33+ pts: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 35+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 43+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
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Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

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