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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026?·39.7·97%(+90%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·94%(+83%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·79%(+69%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·20%(-68%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·11%(-61%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·97.1%(+55.1%)MI-10 House winner?·Michael Bouchard Jr.·10%(-55%)When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?·Before Jan 1, 2027·22%(-42%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·28%(-42%)Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 10.60M·37%(-38%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 8PM Aug 25·7%(-37%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 200·98%(+37%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·51%(-35%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)·At least 5·30%(-33%)
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Summary

Democrats, 11+ pts is favored at 81% as of 20 Aug 2026, 23:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 57% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 19+ pts: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 21+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 27+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
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Virginia Senate margin of victory

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Odds history

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