Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiTN-09 Republican nominee?·Todd Warner·87%(+77%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 115 million·31%(-59%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Larry Page·88%(+52%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 3, 2026?·40.2 to 40.4·97%(+50%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·48%(+42%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·50%(+41%)AZ-08 Democratic nominee?·Raymond Keeler·20%(-36%)LA-01 Republican nominee?·Steve Scalise·14%(-23%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·10%(-20%)NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Claire Valdez, 0-3%·1%(-20%)Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?·John Hickenlooper, ≥6%·3%(-20%)Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?·During Trump's term·32%(-19%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·56%(-19%)How many federal agencies will Trump cut?·More than 5·22%(+17%)Who will advance from the WA-04 primary?·Matt Boehnke·36%(-16%)
Back
Live summary

Above 249 is favored at 58% as of 3 Jul 2026, 20:03 UTC across 8 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Above 249: 58% (24h change 0%)
  • 3 to 9: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • 10 to 24: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • 25 to 99: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • 100 to 249: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • 0: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • 1: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • 2: 1% (24h change 0%)
other8 marketsLIVE

How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?

Trade ↗

All options

3 to 9

17%
Trade ↗

0

1%
Trade ↗

1

1%
Trade ↗

2

1%
Trade ↗