Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiCA-24 primary: first place·Salud Carbajal·99%(+99%)CA-26 primary: first place·Jacqui Irwin·99%(+99%)CA-46 primary: first place·Lou Correa·99%(+99%)CA-50 primary: first place·Scott Peters·99%(+99%)Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?·Mike Collins, 10-15%·99%(+99%)Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 100k·99%(+99%)WA-02 primary: who will advance?·Rick Larsen·99%(+99%)FL-28 Democratic nominee?·Phil Ehr·98%(+98%)MI-04 Democratic nominee?·Sean McCann·98%(+98%)Who will AOC endorse?·Cori Bush·97%(+97%)FL-26 Democratic nominee?·Nicole Locklin·97%(+97%)CA-32 Primary margin of victory?·Brad Sherman, 0-5%·98%(+97%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 50·97%(+97%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jun 2026?·At least 5·96%(+96%)NY-07 House winner?·Republican party·98.6%(+94.6%)
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Live summary

1 is favored at 84% as of 27 Jun 2026, 14:21 UTC across 7 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • 1: 84% (24h change +63%)
  • 3 to 9: 10% (24h change +4%)
  • 25 to 99: 8% (24h change +2%)
  • 10 to 24: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 250: 5% (24h change -6%)
  • 100 to 249: 3% (24h change -4%)
  • 2: 2% (24h change -5%)
other7 marketsLIVE

How many people will Trump pardon in June 2026?

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1

84%
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3 to 9

10%
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2

2%
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