J.D. Vance is favored at 19% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 31 markets.
- J.D. Vance: 19% (24h change -1%)
- Jon Ossoff: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 9.7% (24h change -0.1%)
- Marco Rubio: 9.3% (24h change +0.1%)
- Gavin Newsom: 8.6% (24h change 0%)
- Kamala Harris: 3.8% (24h change -0.6%)
- Andy Beshear: 3.3% (24h change -0.1%)
- Ron DeSantis: 3% (24h change +0.1%)
- Pete Buttigieg: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Mark Kelly: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
- Donald J. Trump: 2.8% (24h change -0.2%)
- Josh Shapiro: 2.7% (24h change -0.1%)
- James Talarico: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Wes Moore: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
- Tucker Carlson: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
- Donald J. Trump Jr.: 1% (24h change -0.2%)
- J.B. Pritzker: 1% (24h change +0.1%)
- Rahm Emanuel: 1% (24h change -1%)
- Thomas Massie: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Hunter Biden: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Ro Khanna: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Ted Cruz: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Jamie Dimon: 0.8% (24h change +0.1%)
- Gretchen Whitmer: 0.6% (24h change -0.2%)
- Tulsi Gabbard: 0.4% (24h change -0.2%)
- Stephen A. Smith: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
- Vivek Ramaswamy: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
- Glenn Youngkin: 0.3% (24h change -0.1%)
- Nikki Haley: 0.2% (24h change -0.1%)
- Greg Abbott: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Tim Walz: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
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About this market
Market question: 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance is favored at 19% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance: 19%; Jon Ossoff: 12%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 9.7%; Marco Rubio: 9.3%; Gavin Newsom: 8.6%; Kamala Harris: 3.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.