Marco Rubio is favored at 18% as of 5 Jul 2026, 16:02 UTC across 30 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• Marco Rubio: 18% (24h change -2%)
• J.D. Vance: 17% (24h change +1%)
• Gavin Newsom: 14% (24h change +1%)
• Jon Ossoff: 11% (24h change 0%)
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 8.5% (24h change +0.4%)
• Kamala Harris: 4.6% (24h change -0.3%)
• Pete Buttigieg: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
• Josh Shapiro: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
• Donald J. Trump: 2.8% (24h change +0.1%)
• Ron DeSantis: 2.5% (24h change +0.3%)
• Mark Kelly: 2.2% (24h change -0.3%)
• Andy Beshear: 2.1% (24h change -0.5%)
• Rahm Emanuel: 2% (24h change 0%)
• Tucker Carlson: 1.9% (24h change -0.3%)
• J.B. Pritzker: 1.6% (24h change 0%)
• Donald J. Trump Jr.: 1.4% (24h change +0.1%)
• Wes Moore: 1.2% (24h change +0.2%)
• Thomas Massie: 1% (24h change -1%)
• James Talarico: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Hunter Biden: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Ro Khanna: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Gretchen Whitmer: 0.6% (24h change +0.1%)
• Jamie Dimon: 0.5% (24h change +0.1%)
• Tulsi Gabbard: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
• Glenn Youngkin: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
• Stephen A. Smith: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Nikki Haley: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Greg Abbott: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Vivek Ramaswamy: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Tim Walz: 0.1% (24h change 0%)