Powered by KalshiWhich Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·99%(+78%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·89%(+78%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Nov 1, 2026·99%(+67%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Delcy Rodriguez·99%(+54%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 26, 2026·73%(+50%)Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent·At least 50%·55%(+48%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·59%(+39%)Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?·Drug Legalization Authority Amendment·77%(+39%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Treg Taylor·1.4%(-38.6%)US test scores in Math in 2026?·Significant decrease·44%(+35.6%)MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥20%·44%(+34%)NJ-03 House winner?·Michael McGuire·2.5%(-33.5%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 15·4%(-33%)When will government-wide funding become law?·Before Sep 11, 2026·89%(+31%)Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras before 2027?·Will it be reported by a Source Agency that a U.S. state has banned, suspended or paused law enforcement use of Flock Safety or other automated licence plate reader cameras before Jan 1, 2027?·80%(+31%)

Powered by KalshiWhich Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·99%(+78%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·89%(+78%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Nov 1, 2026·99%(+67%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Delcy Rodriguez·99%(+54%)When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 26, 2026·73%(+50%)Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent·At least 50%·55%(+48%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·59%(+39%)Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?·Drug Legalization Authority Amendment·77%(+39%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Treg Taylor·1.4%(-38.6%)US test scores in Math in 2026?·Significant decrease·44%(+35.6%)MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥20%·44%(+34%)NJ-03 House winner?·Michael McGuire·2.5%(-33.5%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 15·4%(-33%)When will government-wide funding become law?·Before Sep 11, 2026·89%(+31%)Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras before 2027?·Will it be reported by a Source Agency that a U.S. state has banned, suspended or paused law enforcement use of Flock Safety or other automated licence plate reader cameras before Jan 1, 2027?·80%(+31%)

Summary

Ed Markey, ≥5% is favored at 99% as of 1 Sep 2026, 05:34 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

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Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)

All options

Ed Markey, ≥5%

99%

—

$207

Ed Markey, ≥10%

95%

—

$938

Ed Markey, ≥20%

87%

—

$10

Ed Markey, ≥15%

85%

—

$842

Ed Markey, ≥25%

64%

—

$133

Ed Markey, ≥30%

48%

—

$353

Ed Markey, ≥35%

43%

—

$202

Ed Markey, ≥40%

17%

—

$200

Ed Markey, ≥45%

9%

—

$200

Ed Markey, ≥50%

1%

—

$1K