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Powered by KalshiSouth Carolina Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·78%(+76.5%)When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?·Before 2028·32%(-67%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/12 - 7/18)·Above 0·39%(-56%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)·At least 5·99%(+56%)Next Senator from South Carolina?·Pamela Evette·1%(-50%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?·Russell Fry·63%(+50%)California State Senate District 26 election winner·Wendy Carrillo·1%(-45%)Will crypto market structure legislation become law?·Before Jan 1, 2028·58%(-38%)Ohio Secretary of State winner?·Democratic party·60%(+38%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Ending Jun 4, 2029·65%(+37%)Will Trump visit Greenland?·Before Jan 1, 2028·11%(-36%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·No new person·11%(-35%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 125 million·99%(+34%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)·Above 50·47%(-32%)Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?·Naftali Bennett·3.2%(-30.8%)
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Summary

Mark Lynch is favored at 99% as of 14 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Mark Lynch: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Russell Fry: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • Ralph Norman: 85% (24h change 0%)
  • Nancy Mace: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Pamela Evette: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • Darline Graham Nordone: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Scott Bessent: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Nikki Haley: 3% (24h change 0%)
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