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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·2%(-74%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·4%(-55%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 325k·16%(-54%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.7 to 39.9·51%(+48%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·39.2·1%(-43%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 5·7%(-41%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)US test scores in Reading in 2026?·No significant difference·51%(+38%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-35.7%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·30%(-33%)
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Summary

Before 2030 is favored at 77% as of 21 Aug 2026, 00:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before 2030: 77% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2029: 51% (24h change -9%)
  • Before 2028: 25% (24h change +17%)
  • Before 2027: 6.5% (24h change 0%)
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When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

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Odds history

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Before 2029

51%
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Before 2028

25%
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