Powered by KalshiHow many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/10 - 5/16)·Above 0·18%(-69%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?·Jensen Huang·15%(-68%)AL-02 House winner?·Republican party·75%(+61%)Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?·Donald Trump → No one·0.3%(-58.7%)LA-04 Democratic nominee?·Conrad Cable·53%(+49.6%)SC-02 Republican nominee?·Joe Wilson·92%(+44%)CA-30 primary: Who will advance?·Scott Meyers·46%(-40%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/4 - 5/10)·Above 40·37%(+31%)LA-03 Democratic nominee?·Tia LeBrun·37%(+31%)Keir Starmer Out?·Before Jul 1, 2026·63%(+30%)Alabama's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·51%(-28%)Michigan's 10th District margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·41%(-28%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·44%(+28%)AL-04 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Pusczek·36%(+26.5%)Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?·Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?·77%(+25%)

Powered by KalshiHow many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/10 - 5/16)·Above 0·18%(-69%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026?·Jensen Huang·15%(-68%)AL-02 House winner?·Republican party·75%(+61%)Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?·Donald Trump → No one·0.3%(-58.7%)LA-04 Democratic nominee?·Conrad Cable·53%(+49.6%)SC-02 Republican nominee?·Joe Wilson·92%(+44%)CA-30 primary: Who will advance?·Scott Meyers·46%(-40%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/4 - 5/10)·Above 40·37%(+31%)LA-03 Democratic nominee?·Tia LeBrun·37%(+31%)Keir Starmer Out?·Before Jul 1, 2026·63%(+30%)Alabama's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·51%(-28%)Michigan's 10th District margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·41%(-28%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·44%(+28%)AL-04 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Pusczek·36%(+26.5%)Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?·Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?·77%(+25%)

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Trump late night post this week? (5/10-5/16)

Odds history

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1-2 AM

80%

—

1,883

5-6 AM

32%

—

482

2-3 AM

29%

—

137

4-5 AM

24%

—

1,474

3-4 AM

23%

—

846