Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 27+ pts·98.7%(+83.7%)NE-02 House winner?·Brinker Harding·99%(+82%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 12 million·3%(-82%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 115 million·31%(-59%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·48%(+42%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·50%(+41%)MA-08 Democratic nominee?·Stephen Lynch·73%(+26%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/28 - 7/4)·Above 0·16%(-25%)How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries?·Above 6·48%(+25%)Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?·Before 2029·35%(-24%)Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?·John Hickenlooper, ≥6%·2%(-23%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins·67%(+22%)NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Claire Valdez, 0-3%·1%(-20%)CO-04 House winner?·Democratic party·53%(+19%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·56%(-19%)
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Live summary

At least 30% is favored at 99% as of 3 Jul 2026, 09:05 UTC across 7 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • At least 30%: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 35%: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 40%: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 45%: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 50%: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 55%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 60%: 1% (24h change 0%)
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CO-01 Democratic primary: Melat Kiros vote percent

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