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Trump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?
·
39.4
·
1%
(-98%)
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
17%
(-82%)
Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?
·
Missouri Amendment 3
·
19%
(-77%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
·
Above 45
·
86%
(+72%)
Georgia Attorney General winner?
·
Tanya Miller
·
44%
(-53.3%)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
·
Above 15
·
12%
(-50%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
Above 30
·
88%
(+40%)
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 8+ pts
·
31%
(-39%)
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
·
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
·
33%
(-39%)
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
·
5
·
88%
(+33%)
Iowa Senate margin of victory
·
Republicans, 2+ pts
·
52%
(+32%)
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)
·
At least 5
·
63%
(+29%)
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
·
Above 350k
·
11%
(-26%)
South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?
·
Oconee
·
55%
(-25%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 60
·
17%
(-25%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Trump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?
·
39.4
·
1%
(-98%)
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
·
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
17%
(-82%)
Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?
·
Missouri Amendment 3
·
19%
(-77%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
·
Above 45
·
86%
(+72%)
Georgia Attorney General winner?
·
Tanya Miller
·
44%
(-53.3%)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
·
Above 15
·
12%
(-50%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
·
Above 30
·
88%
(+40%)
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 8+ pts
·
31%
(-39%)
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
·
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
·
33%
(-39%)
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
·
5
·
88%
(+33%)
Iowa Senate margin of victory
·
Republicans, 2+ pts
·
52%
(+32%)
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)
·
At least 5
·
63%
(+29%)
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
·
Above 350k
·
11%
(-26%)
South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?
·
Oconee
·
55%
(-25%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 60
·
17%
(-25%)
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Peter Thiel
Peter Thiel
Kalshi odds for Peter Thiel. 2 markets tracked.
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81%
Peter Thiel
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Peter Thiel
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
+6%
40%
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Peter Thiel
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
81%
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