Powered by KalshiWhich abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·20%(-76%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-73%)Texas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·87%(+42%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·88%(+33%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·36%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)·August 23·3%(-26%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 30·54%(+26%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·11%(-26%)

Powered by KalshiWhich abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·20%(-76%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-73%)Texas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·87%(+42%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·88%(+33%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·36%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)·August 23·3%(-26%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 30·54%(+26%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·11%(-26%)

Josh Shapiro portrait

Josh Shapiro

Democrat

Kalshi odds for Josh Shapiro. 9 markets tracked.

Top odds

74%

Josh Shapiro

Markets

9

Categories

All markets

Presidential

View all presidential →

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance

2028 Presidential matchup

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio

2028 Presidential matchup

Related:All candidates·Presidential odds·All markets