Election
Odds
Powered by
Kalshi
U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Indices
Power index
AI index
Policy
International
All markets
LIVE
·
Updated just now
Powered by
Kalshi
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
·
Dave Bronson
·
97.3%
(+91.7%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
·
At least 3
·
12%
(-52%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Taylor Burks
·
19%
(-47%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
29%
(-41%)
When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
4%
(-40%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.8 to 41.0
·
61%
(+33%)
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
·
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
·
36%
(-33%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
·
Above 150
·
32%
(-31%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
85%
(+31%)
TN-05 Republican nominee?
·
Charlie Hatcher
·
48%
(+30%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 70
·
60%
(+28%)
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
·
John Sununu, ≥30%
·
58%
(+28%)
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
·
Democratic party
·
16%
(-27%)
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?
·
Above 5.6%
·
96%
(+26%)
FL-02 Republican nominee?
·
Luke Murphy
·
24%
(+23%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
·
Dave Bronson
·
97.3%
(+91.7%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
·
At least 3
·
12%
(-52%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Taylor Burks
·
19%
(-47%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
29%
(-41%)
When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
4%
(-40%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.8 to 41.0
·
61%
(+33%)
Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?
·
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
·
36%
(-33%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
·
Above 150
·
32%
(-31%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
85%
(+31%)
TN-05 Republican nominee?
·
Charlie Hatcher
·
48%
(+30%)
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
·
Above 70
·
60%
(+28%)
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
·
John Sununu, ≥30%
·
58%
(+28%)
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
·
Democratic party
·
16%
(-27%)
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?
·
Above 5.6%
·
96%
(+26%)
FL-02 Republican nominee?
·
Luke Murphy
·
24%
(+23%)
Home
People
Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
Republican
Kalshi odds for Thomas Massie. 4 markets tracked.
Top odds
39%
▼ -6%
Thomas Massie
Markets
4
Categories
Presidential
Other policy
All markets
Presidential
View all presidential →
Thomas Massie
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
-6%
39%
Thomas Massie
2028 Republican presidential nominee
1.6%
Thomas Massie
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
-1%
1%
Other policy
View all other policy →
Thomas Massie
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
8.7%
Related:
All candidates
·
Presidential odds
·
All markets
Midterms
President
Congress
Indices
Power index
AI index
More
Policy
World
All markets