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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+93%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·98%(+93%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+91.6%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-91%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+90%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Oliver Gilbert·99%(+89%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Jim Schwartzel·99%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-85%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·9.5%(-84.3%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·1%(-83%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 60%·2%(-82%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-80%)
Gavin Newsom portrait

Gavin Newsom

Democrat

Kalshi odds for Gavin Newsom. 17 markets tracked.

Top odds
85%
Gavin Newsom
Markets
17

All markets

Presidential

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Gavin Newsom
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
85%
Before Oct 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
74%
Before Jul 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
62%
Before Apr 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
47%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
22%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
21%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
-1%16%
Before Jan 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
15%
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
2028 Presidential matchup
+1%13%
Gavin Newsom
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
13%
Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential matchup
9.5%
Gavin Newsom
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
-0.5%9.3%
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
8%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic VP nominee
-0.1%4.2%
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
4%
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