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Powered by KalshiMD-01 Republican nominee?·Andy Harris·97%(+96%)MD-02 Democratic nominee?·Johnny Olszewski·97%(+96%)MD-08 Democratic nominee?·Jamie Raskin·97%(+96%)OK-03 Republican nominee?·Frank Lucas·97%(+96%)CA-06 primary: Who will advance?·Kevin Kiley·95%(+94%)CA-13 primary: first place·Adam Gray·92%(+92%)MI-01 Republican nominee?·Jack Bergman·94%(+92%)FL-08 Republican nominee?·Mike Haridopolos·2%(-91%)Maine's 1st District margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·91%(+91%)NY-03 Republican nominee?·Michael J LiPetri Jr·92%(+91%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 39+ pts·1.1%(-90.1%)WI-04 Democratic nominee?·Gwen Moore·92%(+90%)SD-AL House winner?·Republican party·93.7%(+88.7%)New York's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 49+ pts·2%(-88.2%)Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory·Democrats, 16+ pts·1.1%(-87.9%)
Powered by KalshiMD-01 Republican nominee?·Andy Harris·97%(+96%)MD-02 Democratic nominee?·Johnny Olszewski·97%(+96%)MD-08 Democratic nominee?·Jamie Raskin·97%(+96%)OK-03 Republican nominee?·Frank Lucas·97%(+96%)CA-06 primary: Who will advance?·Kevin Kiley·95%(+94%)CA-13 primary: first place·Adam Gray·92%(+92%)MI-01 Republican nominee?·Jack Bergman·94%(+92%)FL-08 Republican nominee?·Mike Haridopolos·2%(-91%)Maine's 1st District margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·91%(+91%)NY-03 Republican nominee?·Michael J LiPetri Jr·92%(+91%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 39+ pts·1.1%(-90.1%)WI-04 Democratic nominee?·Gwen Moore·92%(+90%)SD-AL House winner?·Republican party·93.7%(+88.7%)New York's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 49+ pts·2%(-88.2%)Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory·Democrats, 16+ pts·1.1%(-87.9%)
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Gavin Newsom

Democrat

Live prediction market odds for Gavin Newsom. 16 markets tracked.

Top odds
84% ▼ -1%
Gavin Newsom
Markets
16
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Gavin Newsom
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
-1% 84%
Before Oct 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
+69.9% 71%
Before Jul 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
+60.9% 62%
Before Apr 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
+2% 38%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
30%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
23%
Before Jan 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
+15.9% 17%
Gavin Newsom
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
-1% 17%
Gavin Newsom
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
15%
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
15%
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
2028 Presidential matchup
13%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
13%
Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential matchup
-0.1% 9.8%
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
5%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic VP nominee
5%

Other policy

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Gavin Newsom
Who will be arrested before 2027?
+0.6% 5%
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