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Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)GA-13 special election winner?·Everton Blair Jr.·48%(-23%)
Gavin Newsom portrait

Gavin Newsom

Democrat

Kalshi odds for Gavin Newsom. 17 markets tracked.

Top odds
84%▲ +2%
Gavin Newsom
Markets
17

All markets

Presidential

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Gavin Newsom
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
+2%84%
Before Oct 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
71%
Before Jul 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
69%
Before Apr 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
51%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
35%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
31%
Gavin Newsom
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
22%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
-1%20%
Before Jan 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
19%
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
2028 Presidential matchup
+3%15%
Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential matchup
+2%13%
Gavin Newsom
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
-1%12%
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
6%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic VP nominee
5.6%
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
5%
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