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Powered by KalshiWhen will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-73%)Texas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-63%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·89%(+44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·89%(+34%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·36%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)·August 23·3%(-26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Ron Wyden·5.4%(-24.6%)
Powered by KalshiWhen will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-73%)Texas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-63%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·89%(+44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·89%(+34%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·36%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)·August 23·3%(-26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Ron Wyden·5.4%(-24.6%)
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Gavin Newsom

Democrat

Kalshi odds for Gavin Newsom. 17 markets tracked.

Top odds
84%
Gavin Newsom
Markets
17
Categories
PresidentialOther policy

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Presidential

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Gavin Newsom
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
84%
Before Oct 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
74%
Before Jul 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
62%
Before Apr 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
47%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
27%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
+2%24%
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
2028 Presidential matchup
16%
Before Jan 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
+6.6%16%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
-1%14%
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
13%
Gavin Newsom
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
13%
Gavin Newsom
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
+0.2%8.6%
Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential matchup
4.6%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic VP nominee
4.3%
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
4%

Other policy

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Gavin Newsom
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
12%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be arrested in 2026?
5.9%
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