Gavin Newsom
DemocratLive Kalshi election odds for Gavin Newsom. 18 active markets and 0 historical markets tracked.
Active markets
Presidential
View all presidential →Gavin Newsom
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
82%
Before Oct 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
75%
Before Jul 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
69%
Before Apr 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
+3%54%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
18%
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
2028 Presidential matchup
+4%17%
Before Jan 1, 2027
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
+3%17%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
14%
Gavin Newsom
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
13%
Gavin Newsom
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
10%
Gavin Newsom
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
9.4%
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
+2%8%
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
7%
Gavin Newsom
2028 Democratic VP nominee
+0.2%4.1%
Gavin Newsom
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
4%
Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio
2028 Presidential matchup
3.9%
About these markets
How to read Gavin Newsom's odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for a market involving Gavin Newsom. Markets can ask different questions, so compare prices within the same event rather than treating every percentage as one overall candidate rating.
Gavin Newsom odds FAQ
What are Gavin Newsom's current election odds?
Gavin Newsom is at 82% on "Gavin Newsom". ElectionOdds currently tracks 18 active Kalshi markets mentioning Gavin Newsom.
How many prediction markets track Gavin Newsom?
ElectionOdds lists 18 active and 0 historical Kalshi markets mentioning Gavin Newsom.
Where does ElectionOdds get Gavin Newsom's odds?
The percentages are traded prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. ElectionOdds displays the market data and does not create its own candidate forecast.