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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+94.5%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Shevrin Jones·1%(-92%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-90%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·0.1%(-89.9%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Eliott Rodriguez·99%(+87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-86%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-82%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+78%)
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Summary

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is favored at 79% as of 19 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 79% (24h change +1%)
  • Flávio Bolsonaro: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Renan Santos: 5.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Romeu Zema: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Tarcísio de Freitas: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Fernando Haddad: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Ronaldo Caiado: 0.1% (24h change -1.5%)
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Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

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Ronaldo Caiado

0.1%
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