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Summary

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is favored at 86% as of 24 Aug 2026, 23:04 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 86% (24h change +7%)
  • Flávio Bolsonaro: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Renan Santos: 5.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Romeu Zema: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Tarcísio de Freitas: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Fernando Haddad: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Ronaldo Caiado: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
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Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

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