ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-95%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·3%(-90%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·99%(+82%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 55%·99%(+79%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·77%(+72%)FL-06 Republican primary: Aaron Baker vote percent·At least 12%·99%(+65%)Alaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·2%(-63%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)
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Summary

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is favored at 80% as of 20 Aug 2026, 00:33 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 80% (24h change -1%)
  • Flávio Bolsonaro: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Renan Santos: 5.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Romeu Zema: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Tarcísio de Freitas: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Fernando Haddad: 0.5% (24h change -0.3%)
  • Ronaldo Caiado: 0.1% (24h change -1.5%)
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Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

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Fernando Haddad

0.5%
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Ronaldo Caiado

0.1%
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