Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+73%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 16 million·64%(+45%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·66%(+43%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·9%(-41%)FL-20 Democratic nominee?·Luther Campbell·42%(+38%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·37%(+34%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·47%(-33%)MI-07 Democratic nominee?·William Lawrence·49%(+24%)Will Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·25%(+23%)AL-01 Republican nominee?·Jerry Carl·94%(+22%)Who will AOC endorse?·Graham Platner·5%(-22%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·39%(+22%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·19%(-22%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/5 - 7/11)·Above 0·39%(-19%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·27%(-19%)
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Live summary

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is favored at 79% as of 6 Jul 2026, 15:34 UTC across 7 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 79% (24h change -4%)
  • Flávio Bolsonaro: 14% (24h change -2%)
  • Renan Santos: 4.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Romeu Zema: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Fernando Haddad: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Ronaldo Caiado: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Tarcísio de Freitas: 1% (24h change 0%)
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