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U.S. Midterms 2026
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When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before Dec 1, 2026
·
82%
(+72%)
Will Graham Platner drop out?
·
Before Jul 14, 2026
·
93%
(+71%)
Maine State Senate winner?
·
Republican party
·
85%
(+70%)
WA-06 primary: who will advance?
·
Leon Lawson
·
9%
(-67%)
Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 44+ pts
·
92%
(+61%)
VA-10 Republican nominee?
·
Dave Beckwith
·
61%
(+49%)
NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout
·
Above 75k
·
9%
(-44%)
TN-09 Republican nominee?
·
Brent Taylor
·
67%
(+44%)
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?
·
Gabriel Attal
·
4.3%
(-41.7%)
FL-20 Democratic nominee?
·
Luther Campbell
·
4%
(-38%)
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
·
Graham Platner
·
2%
(-37%)
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
·
Rand Paul
·
88%
(+37%)
Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?
·
Before Nov 3, 2026
·
2%
(-32%)
When will a Trump passport be issued?
·
Before Jul 20, 2026
·
99%
(+25%)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
·
At least 50
·
41%
(-23%)
Powered by
Kalshi
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before Dec 1, 2026
·
82%
(+72%)
Will Graham Platner drop out?
·
Before Jul 14, 2026
·
93%
(+71%)
Maine State Senate winner?
·
Republican party
·
85%
(+70%)
WA-06 primary: who will advance?
·
Leon Lawson
·
9%
(-67%)
Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 44+ pts
·
92%
(+61%)
VA-10 Republican nominee?
·
Dave Beckwith
·
61%
(+49%)
NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout
·
Above 75k
·
9%
(-44%)
TN-09 Republican nominee?
·
Brent Taylor
·
67%
(+44%)
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?
·
Gabriel Attal
·
4.3%
(-41.7%)
FL-20 Democratic nominee?
·
Luther Campbell
·
4%
(-38%)
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
·
Graham Platner
·
2%
(-37%)
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
·
Rand Paul
·
88%
(+37%)
Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?
·
Before Nov 3, 2026
·
2%
(-32%)
When will a Trump passport be issued?
·
Before Jul 20, 2026
·
99%
(+25%)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
·
At least 50
·
41%
(-23%)
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How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
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Summary
Above 5
is favored at
4%
as of 7 Jul 2026, 20:02 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.
Above 5: 4% (24h change 0%)
5: 2% (24h change 0%)
international
2 markets
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How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
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