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When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before Dec 1, 2026
·
82%
(+72%)
Maine State Senate winner?
·
Republican party
·
85%
(+70%)
WA-06 primary: who will advance?
·
Leon Lawson
·
9%
(-67%)
Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 44+ pts
·
92%
(+61%)
Who will AOC endorse?
·
Darializa Avila Chevalier
·
60%
(+58%)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?
·
Above 40.2%
·
68%
(+48%)
NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout
·
Above 75k
·
9%
(-44%)
VA-10 Republican nominee?
·
Dave Beckwith
·
61%
(+42%)
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?
·
Gabriel Attal
·
8.3%
(-37.7%)
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
·
Karen Bass
·
21%
(-37%)
Texas's 15th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 7+ pts
·
33%
(+31.9%)
Will Graham Platner drop out?
·
Before Jul 8, 2026
·
5%
(-30%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
·
Above 200
·
18%
(-28%)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
·
At least 40
·
99%
(+23%)
New Jersey Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 19+ pts
·
64%
(+23%)
Powered by
Kalshi
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before Dec 1, 2026
·
82%
(+72%)
Maine State Senate winner?
·
Republican party
·
85%
(+70%)
WA-06 primary: who will advance?
·
Leon Lawson
·
9%
(-67%)
Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 44+ pts
·
92%
(+61%)
Who will AOC endorse?
·
Darializa Avila Chevalier
·
60%
(+58%)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?
·
Above 40.2%
·
68%
(+48%)
NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout
·
Above 75k
·
9%
(-44%)
VA-10 Republican nominee?
·
Dave Beckwith
·
61%
(+42%)
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?
·
Gabriel Attal
·
8.3%
(-37.7%)
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
·
Karen Bass
·
21%
(-37%)
Texas's 15th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 7+ pts
·
33%
(+31.9%)
Will Graham Platner drop out?
·
Before Jul 8, 2026
·
5%
(-30%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
·
Above 200
·
18%
(-28%)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
·
At least 40
·
99%
(+23%)
New Jersey Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 19+ pts
·
64%
(+23%)
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How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
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Summary
Above 5
is favored at
4%
as of 7 Jul 2026, 20:02 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.
Above 5: 4% (24h change 0%)
5: 2% (24h change 0%)
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2 markets
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How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
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