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Powered by KalshiWhen will the Senate leave for August recess?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-62%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·97.3%(+54.3%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·27%(-53%)Michigan State Senate winner?·Republican party·72%(+52%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·59%(+50.2%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·62%(+45%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Jerome Powell·63%(+39%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·64%(+39%)Who will drop out of their election?·Max Miller (before 8/11)·5%(-36%)Next President of Hungary?·Botond Fülöp·1%(-33%)Colorado Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 18+ pts·75%(+33%)Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)·At least 8·2%(-32%)Chicago Mayor winner?·Mike Quigley·0.3%(-28.7%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Aug 2026?·0·48%(-27%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 10·18%(-25%)
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Summary

Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance is favored at 15% as of 8 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC across 16 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance: 15% (24h change +1%)
  • Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio: 11% (24h change +2%)
  • AOC v. JD Vance: 8.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance: 8.1% (24h change +1.6%)
  • Kamala Harris v. JD Vance: 7.2% (24h change 0%)
  • AOC v. Marco Rubio: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio: 4.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio: 3.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear v. JD Vance: 1% (24h change -0.8%)
  • James Talarico v. JD Vance: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico v. Marco Rubio: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
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2028 Presidential matchup

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