AOC v. JD Vance is favored at 13% as of 16 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC across 16 markets.
- AOC v. JD Vance: 13% (24h change -4%)
- Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance: 9.2% (24h change -3.8%)
- Kamala Harris v. JD Vance: 7.5% (24h change -0.1%)
- Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance: 7.5% (24h change 0%)
- Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio: 7.5% (24h change -7.5%)
- Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio: 7.1% (24h change +2.6%)
- AOC v. Marco Rubio: 5.7% (24h change -0.4%)
- Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance: 2.4% (24h change 0%)
- Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
- Andy Beshear v. JD Vance: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
- Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
- Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
- James Talarico v. Marco Rubio: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
- Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
- James Talarico v. JD Vance: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
- Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
2028 Presidential matchup
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About this market
Market question: 2028 Presidential matchup
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2028 Presidential matchup?
AOC v. JD Vance is favored at 13% as of 16 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2028 Presidential matchup?
AOC v. JD Vance: 13%; Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance: 9.2%; Kamala Harris v. JD Vance: 7.5%; Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance: 7.5%; Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio: 7.5%; Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio: 7.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.