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Powered by KalshiWho will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·1%(-75%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?·Before 2027·13%(-57%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·4%(-55%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.1 to 39.3·4%(-44%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·39.2·1%(-43%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 5·7%(-41%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·24%(-39%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 325k·34%(-36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-35.7%)Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·63%(+34%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 16+ pts·19%(-30%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·51%(+30%)
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Summary

Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance is favored at 13% as of 21 Aug 2026, 02:03 UTC across 16 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • AOC v. JD Vance: 11% (24h change -1%)
  • Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio: 9.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris v. JD Vance: 8.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance: 7.2% (24h change -0.1%)
  • AOC v. Marco Rubio: 6.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio: 5.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear v. JD Vance: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico v. Marco Rubio: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico v. JD Vance: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
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2028 Presidential matchup

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