Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·90.1%(+83.1%)Who will AOC endorse?·Darializa Avila Chevalier·2%(-76%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+73%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·18%(-54%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·67%(+44%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·9%(-41%)AZ-01 Democratic nominee?·Jonathan Treble·23%(-40%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·4%(-37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·25%(-32%)Early elections in the UK announced?·Before Sep 1, 2026·5%(-31%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·10%(-29%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Rand Paul·77%(+26%)Maine-Texas Senate Combo·James Talarico and Graham Platner·4%(-24%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·58%(+24%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·97%(+23%)
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Summary

Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance is favored at 16% as of 7 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC across 16 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance: 16% (24h change +1%)
  • Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio: 14% (24h change +1%)
  • AOC v. JD Vance: 7.2% (24h change +0.4%)
  • Kamala Harris v. JD Vance: 6.7% (24h change +0.1%)
  • Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio: 5.5% (24h change 0%)
  • AOC v. Marco Rubio: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio: 2.5% (24h change -0.8%)
  • Andy Beshear v. JD Vance: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico v. JD Vance: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico v. Marco Rubio: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
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2028 Presidential matchup

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