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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.3·1%(-98%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·24%(-75%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·65%(+49%)How many government shutdowns in 2026?·3·68%(+46%)Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 300·73%(+45%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·47%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 53%·18%(-36%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·78%(+33%)When will FISA be reauthorized again?·Before Jan 1, 2027·26%(-33%)
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Summary

AOC v. JD Vance is favored at 12% as of 24 Aug 2026, 22:34 UTC across 16 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • AOC v. JD Vance: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance: 8.9% (24h change -7.1%)
  • Kamala Harris v. JD Vance: 8.6% (24h change 0%)
  • AOC v. Marco Rubio: 7.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance: 7.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio: 5.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio: 4.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear v. JD Vance: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico v. Marco Rubio: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
  • James Talarico v. JD Vance: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
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2028 Presidential matchup

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