Gavin Newsom is favored at 22% as of 5 Jul 2026, 23:02 UTC across 45 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• Gavin Newsom: 22% (24h change +1%)
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 15% (24h change +2%)
• Jon Ossoff: 13% (24h change 0%)
• Kamala Harris: 7.7% (24h change 0%)
• Rahm Emanuel: 5.2% (24h change -0.2%)
• Pete Buttigieg: 5.1% (24h change +0.1%)
• Josh Shapiro: 4.9% (24h change +0.1%)
• Andy Beshear: 3.6% (24h change +0.1%)
• J.B. Pritzker: 3.2% (24h change +0.1%)
• Mark Kelly: 3.2% (24h change 0%)
• Ro Khanna: 2.6% (24h change +0.1%)
• Wes Moore: 2.2% (24h change +0.1%)
• Jon Stewart: 1.9% (24h change +0.1%)
• James Talarico: 1.3% (24h change 0%)
• Gretchen Whitmer: 1.1% (24h change +0.1%)
• Michelle Obama: 1.1% (24h change -0.1%)
• Cory Booker: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Mitch Landrieu: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Mark Cuban: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
• Ruben Gallego: 0.6% (24h change -0.1%)
• Raphael Warnock: 0.6% (24h change +0.1%)
• Bernie Sanders: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
• Elissa Slotkin: 0.6% (24h change -0.1%)
• Graham Platner: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
• Chris Murphy: 0.5% (24h change +0.1%)
• Stephen A. Smith: 0.5% (24h change +0.1%)
• Hunter Biden: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
• Zohran Mamdani: 0.3% (24h change +0.1%)
• Andrew Yang: 0.3% (24h change +0.1%)
• Tim Walz: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Roy Cooper: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• John Fetterman: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Jared Polis: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Barack Obama: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Gina Raimondo: 0.2% (24h change +0.1%)
• Amy Klobuchar: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Jamie Dimon: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Dwayne Johnson: 0.2% (24h change +0.1%)
• Elizabeth Warren: 0.2% (24h change +0.1%)
• Hillary Clinton: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Liz Cheney: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Phil Murphy: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Lebron James: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Jasmine Crockett: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Beto O'Rourke: 0.1% (24h change 0%)