Gavin Newsom is favored at 19% as of 15 Jul 2026, 11:02 UTC across 46 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Gavin Newsom: 19% (24h change -1%)
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 16% (24h change 0%)
• Jon Ossoff: 13% (24h change 0%)
• Kamala Harris: 8% (24h change +0.4%)
• Pete Buttigieg: 5.1% (24h change +0.1%)
• Rahm Emanuel: 5% (24h change 0%)
• Josh Shapiro: 4.7% (24h change -0.1%)
• Andy Beshear: 3.6% (24h change -0.2%)
• Mark Kelly: 3.2% (24h change +0.1%)
• Ro Khanna: 2.8% (24h change +0.2%)
• J.B. Pritzker: 2.7% (24h change -0.2%)
• Wes Moore: 2.4% (24h change -0.4%)
• Jon Stewart: 1.5% (24h change +0.2%)
• James Talarico: 1.4% (24h change -0.1%)
• Michelle Obama: 1.4% (24h change 0%)
• Mitch Landrieu: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Abdul El-Sayed: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Gretchen Whitmer: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
• Mark Cuban: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
• Bernie Sanders: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
• Ruben Gallego: 0.7% (24h change 0%)
• Raphael Warnock: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
• Cory Booker: 0.6% (24h change -0.1%)
• Elissa Slotkin: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
• Hunter Biden: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
• Chris Murphy: 0.4% (24h change +0.1%)
• Stephen A. Smith: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
• Zohran Mamdani: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Roy Cooper: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Andrew Yang: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Tim Walz: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• John Fetterman: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Jared Polis: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Barack Obama: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Hillary Clinton: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Gina Raimondo: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Amy Klobuchar: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Jamie Dimon: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Dwayne Johnson: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Elizabeth Warren: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Liz Cheney: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Phil Murphy: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Lebron James: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Jasmine Crockett: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Beto O'Rourke: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Graham Platner: 0.1% (24h change 0%)