Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)When will ICE removal operations be funded again?·Before Jun 1, 2026·7.1%(-76.9%)GA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·93%(+76%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 24, 2026·7%(-75%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·4%(-68%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent·25% - 30%·71%(+53%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·31%(-45%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)TN-04 Democratic nominee?·Mike Cortese·56%(+42%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·23%(-41%)

Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)When will ICE removal operations be funded again?·Before Jun 1, 2026·7.1%(-76.9%)GA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·93%(+76%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 24, 2026·7%(-75%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·4%(-68%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent·25% - 30%·71%(+53%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·31%(-45%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)TN-04 Democratic nominee?·Mike Cortese·56%(+42%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·23%(-41%)

presidential45 marketsLIVE

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

All options

Gavin Newsom

23%

—

11,221

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

10%

—

18,979

Kamala Harris

8.8%

▼ -0.5%

42,513

Jon Ossoff

7%

▼ -0.2%

10,863

Rahm Emanuel

5.8%

▲ +0.1%

18,275

Pete Buttigieg

4.6%

▼ -0.1%

8,856

Josh Shapiro

4.5%

▼ -0.1%

44,849

Andy Beshear

3.5%

—

16,111

Mark Kelly

3.2%

▼ -0.2%

4,886

James Talarico

2.8%

▲ +0.2%

98,118

J.B. Pritzker

2.8%

—

8,066

Wes Moore

2.1%

—

1,754

Ro Khanna

2%

▲ +0.1%

36,428

Graham Platner

1.7%

▼ -0.1%

20,026

Jon Stewart

1.6%

▲ +0.1%

23,154

Michelle Obama

1.5%

—

1,932

Gretchen Whitmer

1%

▲ +0.1%

7,573

Stephen A. Smith

0.8%

—

942

Mark Cuban

0.7%

—

2,921

Cory Booker

0.7%

—

1,508

Ruben Gallego

0.6%

—

0

Chris Murphy

0.6%

—

37

Raphael Warnock

0.4%

—

18,896

Elissa Slotkin

0.4%

—

3,738

Andrew Yang

0.4%

—

0

Jared Polis

0.3%

—

0

Zohran Mamdani

0.2%

—

13,861

Roy Cooper

0.2%

—

25,465

Bernie Sanders

0.2%

—

1,130

Gina Raimondo

0.2%

—

50,000

Jamie Dimon

0.2%

—

0

Dwayne Johnson

0.2%

▼ -0.1%

620

Hunter Biden

0.1%

—

45

Tim Walz

0.1%

—

962

John Fetterman

0.1%

—

1,397

Barack Obama

0.1%

—

1,137

Hillary Clinton

0.1%

—

4,671

Lebron James

0.1%

—

0

Amy Klobuchar

0.1%

—

45

Beto O'Rourke

0.1%

—

0

Elizabeth Warren

0.1%

—

45

Liz Cheney

0%

—

0

Phil Murphy

0%

—

0

Jasmine Crockett

0%

—

925

Mitch Landrieu

0%

—

0