Powered by KalshiWhen will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-73%)Texas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-63%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·89%(+44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·89%(+34%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·36%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)·August 23·3%(-26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Ron Wyden·5.4%(-24.6%)

Powered by KalshiWhen will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-73%)Texas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-63%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·89%(+44%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·89%(+34%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·36%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)·August 23·3%(-26%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 60·17%(-25%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Ron Wyden·5.4%(-24.6%)

Summary

10 is favored at 29% as of 24 Aug 2026, 00:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

congressional1 marketLIVE

How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

All options

10

29%

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$710