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CongressionalHistorical market

How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

11 had the highest retained price at 88% when this page was last updated on 16 Sep 2026, 14:35 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
11
Closed contract
88%
9
Closed contract
14%
5
Closed contract
5%
10
Closed contract
3%
Above 12
Closed contract
2%
12
Closed contract
2%
4
Closed contract
1%
6
Closed contract
1%
7
Closed contract
1%
8
Closed contract
1%
2
Closed contract
1%
3
Closed contract
1%
1
Closed contract
0%
0
Closed contract
0%
About this market

Market question: How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

11 had the highest retained price at 88% when this page was last updated on 16 Sep 2026, 14:35 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

11: 88%; 9: 14%; 5: 5%; 10: 3%; Above 12: 2%; 12: 2%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.