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Powered by KalshiMI-08 Republican nominee?·Thomas J Smith·99%(+98%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·99%(+96%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·99%(+91%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·1%(-89%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Andrew Jones·1%(-88%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+83%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·96%(+81%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-79%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 1.5M·99%(+63%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Virginia's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 36+ pts·71%(+53%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·97%(+53%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 55·27%(-52%)
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Summary

Before Aug 6 is favored at 99% as of 5 Aug 2026, 14:04 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Aug 6: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 5PM Aug 5: 97% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 12PM Aug 5: 95% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 5AM Aug 5: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 9AM Aug 5: 1% (24h change 0%)
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When will AP call the Michigan Democratic Senate primary?

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