Powered by KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the budget resolution?·Lisa Murkowski·0%(-85%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·57%(+47%)When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?·Before Apr 30, 2026·16%(-28%)How long will the next FISA authorization be?·At least 2 years·63%(+27%)Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?·Keith Sonderling·45%(+22%)Kash Patel out as FBI Director?·Before Jun 1, 2026·44%(-20%)NV-02 Republican nominee?·David Flippo·53%(+17%)How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·At least 5·36%(+16%)NJ-02 Democratic nominee?·Tim Alexander·16%(+15%)What countries will Trump visit in 2026?·Germany·51%(+15%)Who will be arrested before 2027?·James Clapper·30%(+14%)How long will the government shutdown last?·At least 120 days·15%(-14%)Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?·Lee Zeldin·27%(-14%)Who will Trump pardon in 2026?·Nicole Daedone·19%(-12%)When will DHS be funded again?·Before May 8, 2026·32%(+11%)

Powered by KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the budget resolution?·Lisa Murkowski·0%(-85%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·57%(+47%)When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?·Before Apr 30, 2026·16%(-28%)How long will the next FISA authorization be?·At least 2 years·63%(+27%)Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?·Keith Sonderling·45%(+22%)Kash Patel out as FBI Director?·Before Jun 1, 2026·44%(-20%)NV-02 Republican nominee?·David Flippo·53%(+17%)How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·At least 5·36%(+16%)NJ-02 Democratic nominee?·Tim Alexander·16%(+15%)What countries will Trump visit in 2026?·Germany·51%(+15%)Who will be arrested before 2027?·James Clapper·30%(+14%)How long will the government shutdown last?·At least 120 days·15%(-14%)Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?·Lee Zeldin·27%(-14%)Who will Trump pardon in 2026?·Nicole Daedone·19%(-12%)When will DHS be funded again?·Before May 8, 2026·32%(+11%)

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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Odds history

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Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%

30%

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0

Lula da Silva, 0-5%

25%

—

0

Lula da Silva, 5-10%

10%

—

0

Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%

5%

—

0

Lula da Silva, 10-15%

0%

—

0

Lula da Silva, ≥15%

0%

—

0

Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15%

0%

—

0

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15%

0%

—

0

Renan Santos wins

0%

—

0

Romeu Zema wins

0%

—

0

Fernando Haddad wins

0%

—

0