Lula da Silva, 0-5% is favored at 47% as of 6 Sep 2026, 05:34 UTC across 6 markets.
- Lula da Silva, 0-5%: 47% (24h change 0%)
- Lula da Silva, 5-10%: 39% (24h change +2%)
- Lula da Silva, 10-15%: 6% (24h change +4%)
- Lula da Silva, ≥15%: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%: 1% (24h change -5%)
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Trade ↗Odds history
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
Lula da Silva, 0-5% is favored at 47% as of 6 Sep 2026, 05:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
Lula da Silva, 0-5%: 47%; Lula da Silva, 5-10%: 39%; Lula da Silva, 10-15%: 6%; Lula da Silva, ≥15%: 5%; Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%: 2%; Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.